Running Pace & Race Predictor
Calculate your running pace or predict your finish times for upcoming races based on your current fitness.
Distance
Unit
Total Time
Hrs
Min
Sec
Recent Race Distance
Finish Time
Hrs
Min
Sec
The Runner's Math
Whether you're aiming for a personal best or just tracking a training run, understanding the math behind running is key to hitting your goals.
- Pace vs. Speed: Speed is how far you travel in an hour (mph or km/h). Pace is the metric runners prefer: how many minutes it takes to complete exactly one mile or one kilometer.
- The Riegel Formula: The Race Predictor uses a formula created by research engineer Peter Riegel in 1977. It states that a runner's time ($T$) for a new distance ($D$) relates to a recent performance via the equation: $T_2 = T_1 \times (D_2 / D_1)^{1.06}$.
- Predictor Limits: Riegel's formula assumes you have trained adequately for the target distance. A great 5K time will only predict a great marathon time if you have actually done the long runs required to survive 26.2 miles!